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<!DOCTYPE html>
<html lang="zh-CN">
<head>
<meta charset="UTF-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
<title>02 策略机制 — LRS TQQQ 策略研究</title>
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<link rel="stylesheet" href="style.css">
</head>
<body>
<nav class="top-nav">
<a href="index.html" class="nav-brand">← 目录</a>
<div class="nav-divider"></div>
<span class="nav-chapter">Chapter 02 &nbsp;·&nbsp; 策略机制</span>
<span class="nav-counter">02 / 03</span>
<a href="01.html" class="nav-btn">← 上一章</a>
<a href="03.html" class="nav-btn">下一章 →</a>
</nav>
<main>
<div class="page-header">
<span class="page-num">Chapter 02</span>
<h1 class="page-title">策略机制</h1>
<span class="page-sub">Strategy Mechanics</span>
</div>
<div class="g2">
<!-- ── Left: Flowchart ── -->
<div class="panel">
<div class="strip strip-amber"></div>
<div class="panel-header has-sub">
<div class="ph-title-row">
<span class="ph-num">2.1</span>
<h3>核心决策规则</h3>
</div>
<div class="ph-sub">QQQ 200 日均线驱动 &nbsp;·&nbsp; 规则客观 &nbsp;·&nbsp; 零主观干预</div>
</div>
<div class="panel-body">
<div class="fc">
<div class="fc-node fc-start">每日收盘后 &nbsp;&nbsp; 检查 QQQ 收盘价</div>
<div class="fc-arr"></div>
<div class="fc-node fc-dec">
QQQ 收盘价 &nbsp;<span class="hl">高于</span>&nbsp; 200 日均线,<br>
且均线斜率 &gt; -0.5%,连续满足 <strong>≥ 3 天</strong>
</div>
<div class="fc-split">
<div class="fc-side">
<div class="fc-lbl y">&nbsp;三项全满足</div>
<div class="fc-arr"></div>
<div class="fc-out fc-buy">
<div class="fmain">买入 TQQQ</div>
<div class="fsub">▲ 趋势确认,杠杆捕获上涨</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="fc-side">
<div class="fc-lbl n">&nbsp;任一不满足</div>
<div class="fc-arr"></div>
<div class="fc-out fc-sell">
<div class="fmain">清仓 / 持有现金</div>
<div class="fsub">▼ 趋势转弱,规避下行风险</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="fc-foot">
200 日均线 ≈ 过去 10 个月均价,业界公认的中长期趋势基准<br>
<em>连续 3 天确认:有效过滤单日假突破信号</em>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- ── Right: 两个面板 ── -->
<div class="rstack">
<!-- 2.2 三层假设 -->
<div class="panel">
<div class="strip strip-indigo"></div>
<div class="panel-header">
<div class="ph-title-row">
<span class="ph-num">2.2</span>
<h3>三层理论假设</h3>
</div>
</div>
<div class="panel-body">
<div class="ar">
<div class="badge"></div>
<div>
<div class="al">趋势延续性</div>
<div class="ad">上涨趋势中继续上涨的概率 &gt; 短期反转概率</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="ar">
<div class="badge"></div>
<div>
<div class="al">均线有效过滤</div>
<div class="ad">200 日均线识别<strong>中长期趋势</strong>,而非短期价格噪音</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="ar">
<div class="badge"></div>
<div>
<div class="al">杠杆收益覆盖摩擦成本</div>
<div class="ad">趋势期内 TQQQ 收益 &gt; 假信号带来的交易摩擦损耗</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 2.3 非对称风险 -->
<div class="panel">
<div class="strip strip-violet"></div>
<div class="panel-header">
<div class="ph-title-row">
<span class="ph-num">2.3</span>
<h3>本质:非对称风险管理</h3>
</div>
</div>
<div class="panel-body">
<table class="cmp-tbl">
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="rh">纯 TQQQ 买入持有</th>
<th class="gh">LRS 策略</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td class="rc">完整承受 3x 下跌放大</td>
<td class="gc">系统性规避下行风险 ✓</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="rc">震荡市波动损耗持续侵蚀</td>
<td class="gc">空仓期完全避开损耗</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="rc">单次大熊市可抹平多年收益</td>
<td class="gc">保护复利路径的连续性 ✓</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="rc">需要极强的持仓心理承受力</td>
<td class="gc">规则客观,消除情绪干扰</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
</div><!-- /rstack -->
</div><!-- /g2 -->
</main>
</body>
</html>