wehub-resource-sync
36 lines
2.0 KiB
Markdown
36 lines
2.0 KiB
Markdown
---
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allowed-tools: Read, Write, Edit, WebSearch
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argument-hint: [time-horizon] | --near-term | --medium-term | --long-term | --disruption-focus
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description: Generate comprehensive future scenarios with plausibility scoring, trend integration, and strategic implications
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---
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# Future Scenario Generator
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Generate comprehensive future scenarios with systematic analysis and strategic integration: **$ARGUMENTS**
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## Current Trend Context
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- Time horizon: Based on $ARGUMENTS (1-2 years, 3-5 years, 5-10+ years)
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- Domain focus: Industry, technology, society, or economic scenario generation
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- Existing trends: Current patterns, trajectories, and emerging developments
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- Key variables: Major factors that could shape future outcomes
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## Task
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Create systematic future scenarios with comprehensive analysis and strategic implications:
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**Time Horizon**: Use $ARGUMENTS to focus on near-term, medium-term, long-term, or disruption-focused scenarios
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**Scenario Framework**:
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1. **Trend Analysis** - Multi-dimensional trend identification across technology, social, economic, and regulatory domains
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2. **Scenario Architecture** - Baseline, optimistic, pessimistic, and transformation scenarios with cross-impact analysis
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3. **Plausibility Assessment** - Multi-criteria scoring based on historical precedent, logical consistency, and expert validation
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4. **Wild Card Integration** - Low-probability, high-impact events and disruption modeling
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5. **Strategic Implications** - Decision-relevant insights and robust strategy identification
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6. **Monitoring Framework** - Early warning indicators and scenario tracking systems
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**Advanced Features**: Monte Carlo simulations, scenario interaction modeling, confidence intervals, and adaptive scenario management.
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**Decision Integration**: Connect scenarios to strategic planning, risk management, and option generation with actionable recommendations.
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**Output**: Comprehensive scenario portfolio with plausibility scores, strategic implications, monitoring indicators, and decision frameworks for multiple future possibilities. |