217 lines
6.4 KiB
Markdown
217 lines
6.4 KiB
Markdown
# Scoring
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whichllm does not pick the largest model that fits. It ranks candidates by a
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composite score that tries to answer a more practical question:
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> Of the models that can run here, which one is likely to be the best usable
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> choice?
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The source of truth is `engine/ranker.py`.
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## Inputs
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Each candidate score uses:
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- model metadata from HuggingFace
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- detected or simulated hardware
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- estimated VRAM/RAM fit
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- estimated tok/s
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- quantization type
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- benchmark evidence
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- downloads and likes
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- source organization
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- model lineage and generation
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The score is capped to `0..100`.
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## Benchmark evidence
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Independent benchmark matches are not all treated equally.
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| Source | Weight | Meaning |
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| --- | ---: | --- |
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| `direct` | `0.62` | Exact independent benchmark match |
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| `base_model` | `0.55` | Match through `cardData.base_model` |
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| `variant` | `0.50` | Suffix-stripped variant match |
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| `line_interp` | `0.40` | Size-aware model-line interpolation |
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| `self_reported` | `0.30` | Uploader-provided HuggingFace eval only |
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| `none` | `0.00` | No benchmark evidence |
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`self_reported` evidence is intentionally weak. HuggingFace model cards can
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contain useful evaluation data, but it is not the same as an independent
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leaderboard.
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## Size score
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Model size is used as a rough world-knowledge proxy:
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```text
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size_score = 4.2 * log2(params_b) + 9
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```
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The result is capped at `35`.
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For dense models, `params_b` is the parameter count. For MoE models, whichllm
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uses total parameters for quality because all experts contribute to stored
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knowledge. Active parameters are used later for speed.
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## Quantization penalty
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Lower-bit quantization can make a larger model fit, but it also reduces quality.
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The score core is multiplied by `(1 - quant_penalty)`.
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Examples:
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| Quant | Penalty |
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| --- | ---: |
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| `Q8_0` | `0.01` |
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| `Q6_K` | `0.02` |
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| `Q5_K_M` | `0.03` |
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| `Q4_K_M` | `0.05` |
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| `Q3_K_M` | `0.08` |
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| `Q2_K` | `0.25` |
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| `IQ2_XXS` | `0.40` |
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| `Q1_0` | `0.55` |
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Extreme low-bit variants are excluded by default when better candidates exist.
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They can still be requested explicitly with `--quant`.
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## Evidence confidence
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After benchmark and size are combined, weak evidence is dampened:
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| Evidence state | Multiplier |
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| --- | ---: |
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| Direct benchmark | `1.00` |
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| Inherited evidence | `0.78` |
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| Self-reported evidence | `0.55` |
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| No benchmark | `0.55` |
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For inherited benchmark evidence, the raw score is also scaled by confidence
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before entering the scoring function. Line interpolation therefore receives a
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double discount: once for its interpolation confidence and once for being
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inherited evidence.
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## Runtime fit
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The candidate's runtime form matters:
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| Fit | Multiplier |
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| --- | ---: |
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| Full GPU | `1.00` |
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| Partial offload | `0.42`-`0.88`, based on spill ratio |
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| CPU-only | `0.50` |
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Light partial offload is penalized less than heavy offload. MoE models receive
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a milder penalty when the active parameter working set can plausibly stay on
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GPU while inactive experts spill to CPU RAM.
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The final family selection key does not add a separate full-GPU bonus. Runtime
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fit is already reflected in the quality score through the multiplier above and
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the speed adjustment below. CPU-only results receive a small extra sort penalty
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when mixed with GPU-backed candidates.
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## Speed adjustment
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Speed is treated as a usability gate. It is not the main quality signal.
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Required speed depends on fit:
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| Fit | Required speed |
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| --- | ---: |
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| Full GPU | `8 tok/s` |
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| Partial offload | `4 tok/s` |
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| CPU-only | `1.5 tok/s` |
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Candidates below the required speed receive up to `-8` points. Candidates above
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it receive up to `+8` points.
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After ranking, if any candidate is at least `5 tok/s`, whichllm drops candidates
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below `1.5 tok/s`. This avoids recommending models that technically fit but are
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not practical to use.
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The reported speed is a point estimate, not a live benchmark. Ranking also
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exposes speed confidence:
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| Confidence | Range factor | Typical cases |
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| --- | ---: | --- |
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| `medium` | `0.60x`-`1.60x` | Normal GPU estimates, synthetic GGUF estimates, AMD shared-memory APU MoE estimates |
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| `low` | `0.35x`-`2.00x` | CPU-only, partial offload, unknown bandwidth, Apple Silicon MoE |
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| `high` | `0.85x`-`1.20x` | Reserved for future measured-speed data |
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Speed cells are colored by absolute usability: red is under `4 tok/s`, yellow
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is `4-10 tok/s`, green is `10-30 tok/s`, and bright green is `30+ tok/s`. `~`
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marks medium-confidence estimates with a range, and `?` marks low-confidence
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estimates. JSON exposes the same uncertainty data as `speed_confidence`,
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`speed_range_tok_per_sec`, and `speed_notes`.
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## Source trust
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The source organization contributes a small adjustment:
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- official model organizations receive a small bonus
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- trusted GGUF converters can inherit that trust
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- known repackagers receive a small penalty
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The adjustment is intentionally small. It should break ties, not replace
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benchmark and fit signals.
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## Popularity
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Downloads and likes act as tie-breakers. Their weight is lower when benchmark
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evidence is strong and higher when evidence is weak.
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Popularity has no effect for direct benchmark matches.
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## Generation lineage
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Some benchmark sources are frozen. A model released after a frozen leaderboard
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cannot appear there, while older models can keep strong but stale scores.
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whichllm uses family-specific lineage maps to avoid that inversion. Newer
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generations can receive a small bonus; older generations can receive a small
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penalty. This is applied carefully so direct benchmark evidence still matters.
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Examples of tracked lineages include:
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- Qwen
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- Llama
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- DeepSeek
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- Gemma
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- Phi
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- Mistral
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- GLM
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- Kimi
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- Granite
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- OLMo
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- T5 (incl. Flan-T5, mT5, ByT5, T5Gemma)
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## Benchmark markers
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The table score can include a marker:
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| Marker | Meaning |
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| --- | --- |
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| none | Direct independent benchmark evidence |
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| `~` | Estimated or inherited benchmark evidence |
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| `!sr` | Self-reported HuggingFace eval only |
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| `?` | No benchmark evidence |
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Top-pick confidence is computed from the score gap, benchmark status, and fit
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type. Partial-offload and CPU-only top picks are reported with lower confidence
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than full-GPU direct-benchmark winners.
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## Why a smaller model can win
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A smaller model can outrank a larger one when it has:
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- stronger current benchmark evidence
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- a newer generation signal
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- better quantization quality
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- full-GPU fit instead of partial offload
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- higher estimated speed
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- a more trustworthy source
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That is intentional. whichllm ranks likely usable quality, not parameter count
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alone.
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