chore: import upstream snapshot with attribution

faq/overfitting.md

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+# What is overfitting?
+
+Let’s assume we have a hypothesis or model m that we fit on our training data. In machine learning, the training performance — for example, accuracy — is what we measure and optimize during training time. Let’s call this training accuracy ACC<sub>train</sub>(*m*).
+
+Now, what we really care about in machine learning is to build a model that generalizes well to unseen data, that is, we want to build a model that has a high accuracy on the whole distribution of data; let’s call this ACC<sub>population</sub>(*m*). (Typically, we use cross-validation techniques and a separate, independent test set to estimate the  generalization performance.)
+
+Now, overfitting occurs if there’s an alternative model *m'*  from the algorithm's hypothesis space where the training accuracy is better and the generalization performance is worse compared to model *m* -- we say that m overfits the training data.
+
+### Learning Curves
+
+As a rule of thumb, a model is more likely to overfit if it is too complex given a fixed number of training samples. The figure below shows the training and validation accuracies of a SVM model on a certain dataset. Here, I plotted the accuracy as a function of the inverse regularization parameter C -- the larger the value of C the larger the penalty term against complexity.
+
+![](./overfitting/learning_curve_1.png)
+
+We observe a larger difference between training and test accuracy for increasing values of C (more complex models). Based on the plot, we can say that the model at < 10^-1 underfit the training data whereas the models > 10^-1 overfit the training data.
+
+### Remedies
+
+Remedies against overfitting include
+
+1. Choose a simpler model by adding bias and/or reducing the number of parameters
+	2. Adding regularization penalties
+	3. Reducing the dimensionality of the feature space
+2. Collecting more training data