Files
quantconnect--lean/Tests/Algorithm/Framework/Portfolio/ConfidenceWeightedPortfolioConstructionModelTests.cs
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2026-07-13 13:02:50 +08:00

439 lines
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C#

/*
* QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals.
* Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation.
*
* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
* You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
*
* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
* limitations under the License.
*/
using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Linq;
using NodaTime;
using NUnit.Framework;
using Python.Runtime;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Alphas;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Portfolio;
using QuantConnect.Data.Market;
using QuantConnect.Data.UniverseSelection;
using QuantConnect.Orders.Fees;
using QuantConnect.Securities;
using QuantConnect.Securities.Equity;
using QuantConnect.Tests.Common.Data.UniverseSelection;
using QuantConnect.Tests.Engine.DataFeeds;
namespace QuantConnect.Tests.Algorithm.Framework.Portfolio
{
[TestFixture]
public class ConfidenceWeightedPortfolioConstructionModelTests
{
private QCAlgorithm _algorithm;
private const decimal _startingCash = 100000;
private const double Confidence = 0.01;
[OneTimeSetUp]
public void SetUp()
{
_algorithm = new QCAlgorithm();
_algorithm.SubscriptionManager.SetDataManager(new DataManagerStub(_algorithm));
var prices = new Dictionary<Symbol, decimal>
{
{ Symbol.Create("AIG", SecurityType.Equity, Market.USA), 55.22m },
{ Symbol.Create("IBM", SecurityType.Equity, Market.USA), 145.17m },
{ Symbol.Create("SPY", SecurityType.Equity, Market.USA), 281.79m },
};
foreach (var kvp in prices)
{
var symbol = kvp.Key;
var security = GetSecurity(symbol);
security.SetMarketPrice(new Tick(_algorithm.Time, symbol, kvp.Value, kvp.Value));
_algorithm.Securities.Add(symbol, security);
}
}
[TearDown]
public void TearDown() => _algorithm.Insights.Clear(_algorithm.Securities.Keys.ToArray());
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void EmptyInsightsReturnsEmptyTargets(Language language)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, new Insight[0]);
Assert.AreEqual(0, actualTargets.Count());
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Flat)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Flat)]
public void InsightsReturnsTargetsConsistentWithDirection(Language language, InsightDirection direction)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
var amount = _algorithm.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue * (decimal)Confidence;
var expectedTargets = _algorithm.Securities
.Select(x => new PortfolioTarget(x.Key, (int)direction
* Math.Floor(amount * (1 - _algorithm.Settings.FreePortfolioValuePercentage)
/ x.Value.Price)));
var insights = _algorithm.Securities.Keys.Select(x => GetInsight(x, direction, _algorithm.UtcTime));
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights.ToArray());
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Flat)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Flat)]
public void FlatDirectionNotAccountedToAllocation(Language language, InsightDirection direction)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
// Modifying fee model for a constant one so numbers are simplified
foreach (var security in _algorithm.Securities)
{
security.Value.FeeModel = new ConstantFeeModel(1);
}
// Equity, minus $1 for fees
var amount = (_algorithm.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue - 1 * (_algorithm.Securities.Count - 1)) * (decimal)Confidence;
var expectedTargets = _algorithm.Securities.Select(x =>
{
// Expected target quantity for SPY is zero, since its insight will have flat direction
var quantity = x.Key.Value == "SPY" ? 0 : (int)direction
* Math.Floor(amount * (1 - _algorithm.Settings.FreePortfolioValuePercentage)
/ x.Value.Price);
return new PortfolioTarget(x.Key, quantity);
});
var insights = _algorithm.Securities.Keys.Select(x =>
{
// SPY insight direction is flat
var actualDirection = x.Value == "SPY" ? InsightDirection.Flat : direction;
return GetInsight(x, actualDirection, _algorithm.UtcTime);
});
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights.ToArray());
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Flat)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Flat)]
public void AutomaticallyRemoveInvestedWithNewInsights(Language language, InsightDirection direction)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
// Let's create a position for SPY
var insights = new[] { GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, direction, _algorithm.UtcTime) };
foreach (var target in _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights))
{
var holding = _algorithm.Portfolio[target.Symbol];
holding.SetHoldings(holding.Price, target.Quantity);
_algorithm.Portfolio.SetCash(_startingCash - holding.HoldingsValue);
}
SetUtcTime(_algorithm.UtcTime.AddDays(2));
var amount = _algorithm.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue * (decimal)Confidence;
var expectedTargets = _algorithm.Securities.Select(x =>
{
// Expected target quantity for SPY is zero, since it will be removed
var quantity = x.Key.Value == "SPY" ? 0 : (int)direction
* Math.Floor(amount * (1 - _algorithm.Settings.FreePortfolioValuePercentage)
/ x.Value.Price);
return new PortfolioTarget(x.Key, quantity);
});
// Do no include SPY in the insights
insights = _algorithm.Securities.Keys.Where(x => x.Value != "SPY")
.Select(x => GetInsight(x, direction, _algorithm.UtcTime)).ToArray();
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights);
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void AutomaticallyRemoveInvestedWithoutNewInsights(Language language)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
// Let's create a position for SPY
var insights = new[] { GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Up, _algorithm.UtcTime) };
foreach (var target in _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights))
{
var holding = _algorithm.Portfolio[target.Symbol];
holding.SetHoldings(holding.Price, target.Quantity);
_algorithm.Portfolio.SetCash(_startingCash - holding.HoldingsValue);
}
SetUtcTime(_algorithm.UtcTime.AddDays(2));
var expectedTargets = new List<IPortfolioTarget> { new PortfolioTarget(Symbols.SPY, 0) };
// Create target from an empty insights array
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, new Insight[0]);
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void LongTermInsightPreservesPosition(Language language)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
// First emit long term insight
var insights = new[] { GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Down, _algorithm.UtcTime) };
var targets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights).ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(1, targets.Count);
// One minute later, emits short term insight
SetUtcTime(_algorithm.UtcTime.AddMinutes(1));
insights = new[] { GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Up, _algorithm.UtcTime, Time.OneMinute) };
targets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights).ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(1, targets.Count);
// One minute later, emit empty insights array
SetUtcTime(_algorithm.UtcTime.AddMinutes(1.1));
var expectedTargets = new List<IPortfolioTarget> { PortfolioTarget.Percent(_algorithm, Symbols.SPY, -1m * (decimal)Confidence) };
// Create target from an empty insights array
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, new Insight[0]);
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void DelistedSecurityEmitsFlatTargetWithoutNewInsights(Language language)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
var insights = new[] { GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Down, _algorithm.UtcTime) };
var targets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights).ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(1, targets.Count);
var changes = SecurityChangesTests.RemovedNonInternal(_algorithm.Securities[Symbols.SPY]);
_algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.OnSecuritiesChanged(_algorithm, changes);
var expectedTargets = new List<IPortfolioTarget> { new PortfolioTarget(Symbols.SPY, 0) };
// Create target from an empty insights array
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, new Insight[0]);
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp, InsightDirection.Flat)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Up)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Down)]
[TestCase(Language.Python, InsightDirection.Flat)]
public void DelistedSecurityEmitsFlatTargetWithNewInsights(Language language, InsightDirection direction)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
var insights = new[] { GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Down, _algorithm.UtcTime) };
var targets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights).ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(1, targets.Count);
// Removing SPY should clear the key in the insight collection
var changes = SecurityChangesTests.RemovedNonInternal(_algorithm.Securities[Symbols.SPY]);
_algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.OnSecuritiesChanged(_algorithm, changes);
var amount = _algorithm.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue * (decimal)Confidence;
var expectedTargets = _algorithm.Securities.Select(x =>
{
// Expected target quantity for SPY is zero, since it will be removed
var quantity = x.Key.Value == "SPY" ? 0 : (int)direction
* Math.Floor(amount * (1 - _algorithm.Settings.FreePortfolioValuePercentage)
/ x.Value.Price);
return new PortfolioTarget(x.Key, quantity);
});
// Do no include SPY in the insights
insights = _algorithm.Securities.Keys.Where(x => x.Value != "SPY")
.Select(x => GetInsight(x, direction, _algorithm.UtcTime)).ToArray();
// Create target from an empty insights array
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights);
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void WeightsProportionally(Language language)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
// create two insights whose confidences sums up to 2
var insights = new[]
{
GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Down, _algorithm.UtcTime, confidence:1),
GetInsight(Symbol.Create("IBM", SecurityType.Equity, Market.USA),
InsightDirection.Down, _algorithm.UtcTime, confidence:1)
};
// they will each share, proportionally, the total portfolio value
var amount = _algorithm.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue * (decimal)0.5;
var expectedTargets = _algorithm.Securities.Where(pair => insights.Any(insight => pair.Key == insight.Symbol))
.Select(x => new PortfolioTarget(x.Key, (int)InsightDirection.Down
* Math.Floor(amount * (1 - _algorithm.Settings.FreePortfolioValuePercentage)
/ x.Value.Price)));
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights).ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(2, actualTargets.Count);
AssertTargets(expectedTargets, actualTargets);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void GeneratesNoTargetsForInsightsWithNoConfidence(Language language)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
var insights = new[]
{
GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Down, _algorithm.UtcTime, confidence:null)
};
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights).ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(0, actualTargets.Count);
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void GeneratesZeroTargetForZeroInsightConfidence(Language language)
{
SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm);
var insights = new[]
{
GetInsight(Symbols.SPY, InsightDirection.Down, _algorithm.UtcTime, confidence:0)
};
var actualTargets = _algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.CreateTargets(_algorithm, insights).ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(1, actualTargets.Count);
AssertTargets(actualTargets, new[] {new PortfolioTarget(Symbols.SPY, 0)});
}
[Test]
[TestCase(Language.CSharp)]
[TestCase(Language.Python)]
public void DoesNotThrowWithAlternativeOverloads(Language language)
{
Assert.DoesNotThrow(() => SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm, Resolution.Minute));
Assert.DoesNotThrow(() => SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm, TimeSpan.FromDays(1)));
Assert.DoesNotThrow(() => SetPortfolioConstruction(language, _algorithm, Expiry.EndOfWeek));
}
private Security GetSecurity(Symbol symbol)
{
var config = SecurityExchangeHours.AlwaysOpen(DateTimeZone.Utc);
return new Equity(
symbol,
config,
new Cash(Currencies.USD, 0, 1),
SymbolProperties.GetDefault(Currencies.USD),
ErrorCurrencyConverter.Instance,
RegisteredSecurityDataTypesProvider.Null,
new SecurityCache()
);
}
private Insight GetInsight(Symbol symbol, InsightDirection direction, DateTime generatedTimeUtc, TimeSpan? period = null, double? confidence = Confidence)
{
period ??= TimeSpan.FromDays(1);
var insight = Insight.Price(symbol, period.Value, direction, confidence: confidence);
insight.GeneratedTimeUtc = generatedTimeUtc;
insight.CloseTimeUtc = generatedTimeUtc.Add(period.Value);
_algorithm.Insights.Add(insight);
return insight;
}
private void SetPortfolioConstruction(Language language, QCAlgorithm algorithm, dynamic paramenter = null)
{
paramenter = paramenter ?? Resolution.Daily;
algorithm.SetPortfolioConstruction(new ConfidenceWeightedPortfolioConstructionModel(paramenter));
if (language == Language.Python)
{
using (Py.GIL())
{
var name = nameof(ConfidenceWeightedPortfolioConstructionModel);
var instance = Py.Import(name).GetAttr(name).Invoke(((object)paramenter).ToPython());
var model = new PortfolioConstructionModelPythonWrapper(instance);
algorithm.SetPortfolioConstruction(model);
}
}
foreach (var kvp in _algorithm.Portfolio)
{
kvp.Value.SetHoldings(kvp.Value.Price, 0);
}
_algorithm.Portfolio.SetCash(_startingCash);
SetUtcTime(new DateTime(2018, 7, 31));
var changes = SecurityChangesTests.AddedNonInternal(_algorithm.Securities.Values.ToArray());
algorithm.PortfolioConstruction.OnSecuritiesChanged(_algorithm, changes);
}
private void SetUtcTime(DateTime dateTime)
{
_algorithm.SetDateTime(dateTime.ConvertToUtc(_algorithm.TimeZone));
}
private void AssertTargets(IEnumerable<IPortfolioTarget> expectedTargets, IEnumerable<IPortfolioTarget> actualTargets)
{
var list = actualTargets.ToList();
Assert.AreEqual(expectedTargets.Count(), list.Count);
foreach (var expected in expectedTargets)
{
var actual = list.FirstOrDefault(x => x.Symbol == expected.Symbol);
Assert.IsNotNull(actual);
Assert.AreEqual(expected.Quantity, actual.Quantity);
}
}
}
}