chore: import upstream snapshot with attribution
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/*
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* QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals.
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* Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation.
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*
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* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
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* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
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* You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
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*
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* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
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* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
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* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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* limitations under the License.
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*/
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using System.Collections.Generic;
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using System.Linq;
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using Accord.Math;
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using Accord.Math.Optimization;
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using Accord.Statistics;
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namespace QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Portfolio
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{
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/// <summary>
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/// Provides an implementation of a minimum variance portfolio optimizer that calculate the optimal weights
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/// with the weight range from -1 to 1 and minimize the portfolio variance with a target return of 2%
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/// </summary>
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/// <remarks>The budged constrain is scaled down/up to ensure that the sum of the absolute value of the weights is 1.</remarks>
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public class MinimumVariancePortfolioOptimizer : IPortfolioOptimizer
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{
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private double _lower;
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private double _upper;
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private double _targetReturn;
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/// <summary>
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/// Initialize a new instance of <see cref="MinimumVariancePortfolioOptimizer"/>
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="lower">Lower bound</param>
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/// <param name="upper">Upper bound</param>
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/// <param name="targetReturn">Target return</param>
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public MinimumVariancePortfolioOptimizer(double lower = -1, double upper = 1, double targetReturn = 0.02)
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{
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_lower = lower;
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_upper = upper;
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_targetReturn = targetReturn;
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Sum of all weight is one: 1^T w = 1 / Σw = 1
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="size">number of variables</param>
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/// <returns>linear constaraint object</returns>
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protected LinearConstraint GetBudgetConstraint(int size)
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{
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return new LinearConstraint(size)
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{
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CombinedAs = Vector.Create(size, 1.0),
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ShouldBe = ConstraintType.EqualTo,
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Value = 1.0
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};
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Boundary constraints on weights: lw ≤ w ≤ up
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="size">number of variables</param>
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/// <returns>enumeration of linear constaraint objects</returns>
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protected IEnumerable<LinearConstraint> GetBoundaryConditions(int size)
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{
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for (var i = 0; i < size; i++)
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{
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yield return new LinearConstraint(1)
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{
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VariablesAtIndices = new[] { i },
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ShouldBe = ConstraintType.GreaterThanOrEqualTo,
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Value = _lower
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};
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yield return new LinearConstraint(1)
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{
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VariablesAtIndices = new[] { i },
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ShouldBe = ConstraintType.LesserThanOrEqualTo,
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Value = _upper
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};
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}
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Perform portfolio optimization for a provided matrix of historical returns and an array of expected returns
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="historicalReturns">Matrix of annualized historical returns where each column represents a security and each row returns for the given date/time (size: K x N).</param>
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/// <param name="expectedReturns">Array of double with the portfolio annualized expected returns (size: K x 1).</param>
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/// <param name="covariance">Multi-dimensional array of double with the portfolio covariance of annualized returns (size: K x K).</param>
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/// <returns>Array of double with the portfolio weights (size: K x 1)</returns>
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public double[] Optimize(double[,] historicalReturns, double[] expectedReturns = null, double[,] covariance = null)
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{
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covariance ??= historicalReturns.Covariance();
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var size = covariance.GetLength(0);
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var returns = expectedReturns ?? historicalReturns.Mean(0);
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var constraints = new List<LinearConstraint>
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{
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// w^T µ ≥ β
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new (size)
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{
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CombinedAs = returns,
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ShouldBe = ConstraintType.EqualTo,
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Value = _targetReturn
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},
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// Σw = 1
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GetBudgetConstraint(size),
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};
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// lw ≤ w ≤ up
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constraints.AddRange(GetBoundaryConditions(size));
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// Setup solver
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var optfunc = new QuadraticObjectiveFunction(covariance, Vector.Create(size, 0.0));
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var solver = new GoldfarbIdnani(optfunc, constraints);
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// Solve problem
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var x0 = Vector.Create(size, 1.0 / size);
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var success = solver.Minimize(Vector.Copy(x0));
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if (!success) return x0;
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// We cannot accept NaN
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var solution = solver.Solution
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.Select(x => x.IsNaNOrInfinity() ? 0 : x).ToArray();
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// Scale the solution to ensure that the sum of the absolute weights is 1
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var sumOfAbsoluteWeights = solution.Abs().Sum();
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if (sumOfAbsoluteWeights.IsNaNOrZero()) return x0;
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return solution.Divide(sumOfAbsoluteWeights);
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}
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}
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}
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